Pravin Swhney: Unless backed by military power, warnings mean little (Continued)
China’s four capabilities
Four things are guaranteed, if you see their capabilities. I will give them in a sequence but they will not be sequential. They will all happen at the same time.
No 1:
The first is the Cyber offensive culminating in a cyber war which will be a whole of nation, well beyond the battle space. We are looking at financial sector, commercial sector, power sector, telecommunication grids; we are looking at defense grids because Huawei, 3-G, 4-G, they are well embedded in all these areas. And they are embedded in the North-East, where they are in the power sector, in the defense sector. So much so, certain airfields like Adeshpur (Orrisa), where the air traffic control has Huawei components. This is the airport which is dual purpose, it is also for commercial aircraft as well as the Indian Air Force. So the ATC will have a problem.
If the troops have to be mobilized from central India and taken in trains to the eastern sector, the train signal will have problem. They will go awry. So drivers will not drive the train.
This is in nutshell what the cyber element will do.
No 2
The Chinese will exercise what they are very good at, which is systems destruction. This is the combination of their two organizations, Strategic Support Force under which they have cyber electronic war ware space and their Rocket Force, which is their missiles, ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and all hyper-sonic missiles.
And what they do, it will do the system destruction, means denying information to the enemy and in this case, India.
So the Command and Control Centers headquarters, information nods, airfield, they will be attacked both by kinetic means as well as non-kinetic means.
Our space satellites, I am not talking about anti satellite, of course they have the anti-satellite capability. They also have a very formidable capability of sub-orbital kill satellite which stay in the orbit, which can deny the Intelligence Surveillance Reconnaissance (ISR) to the Indian forces. So they will exercise that.
No 3
They will try and get earliest because of this information dominance inside our censor shooter loop which means that their decision making will be faster. They will be able to decide first. That makes all the difference if they can get the ISR faster and better than India, which they have capability. They will make decisions faster.
No 4
Please don’t under right their capabilities in Artificial Intelligence (AI). Since 2012, the PLA has been added and in 2017 China came up with AI development plan where it said by 203 it will be a major power in AI.
So today they are already looking at what is called the Artificial Narrow Intelligence. And the start point of that ANI as we know will first come in the weapons. The missiles and the cruise missiles. They are talking of AI in cruise missiles. What this means is that if the cruise missile are backed by AI they will become autonomous and intelligence. By themselves they can go, find their own target, and decide what needs to be killed, what is more dangerous and destroyed.
On top of that they have also moved their fiber optic cables till the end of the battle space according to media reports.
Now what the fabric optic cables basically do is that because here the data comes as light waves, it is immune to electromagnetic interference. So electronic warfare will not work, they can have their cruise missiles and weapons and air to air missiles intelligent and autonomous at the same time. They can also have the option of to be controlled by ground which basically means that a missile. Even it will be possible or it should be possible that even when it is on the way for a task, it can change the task and change the mission.
So we do not know how much they have accomplished but we have to look at the worst case scenario, that this is what they said in 2016, they will do it and they should have done it in four years.
So we should be looking their electronic warfare. We should be looking at their drones with electronic warfare pay loads. You can see AI in their air defense.
So this is long and short is that if they can deny information to India, if they are whatever worst case scenario we drawn. Even if they achieve 60/70 percent of that, then we are looking at.
I give you an example, we will be having a scenario like the First Gulf War of 1991 between the US-led forces, basically US forces and US technology at work against Iraqi forces which was man-power base. So the First Gulf War lasted for 43 days and ground war was precisely for 100 hours.
That is what the technology can do. I want to end on this note.
The Journal of America Team:
Editor in chief:
Abdus Sattar Ghazali
Senior Editor:
Prof. Arthur Scott
Special Correspondent
Maryam Turab
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